If you've felt whiplash watching Collin County home prices over the past few years, you’re not alone. It's time to stop worrying about volatility and start focusing on a powerful trend we've observed in the market data. Our specific analysis shows 2026 is shaping up to be a year of predictable opportunity right here in Collin County.

The Decade-Long Price Rhythms

For almost 20 years, we've tracked the price per square foot (PPSF) for resale homes in our area. The pattern of price escalation shows distinct brackets:

  • Long Stability: From 2003 to 2014 (almost 12 years), PPSF held steady between $75 and $99.

  • Gradual Climb: The next two major brackets ($100–$124 and $125–$149) took roughly four to five years to climb.

Then,…

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